Monday, February 25, 2019

Federal regulators just removed a barrier to exporting more US natural gas

Federal regulators on Thursday broke an impasse over approving new projects to export natural gas from the United States, potentially easing the way for a flurry of applications to build the multi-billion dollar facilities.

In doing so, the regulators approved a liquefied natural gas export terminal for the first time in two years, pushing through a disagreement over how they should assess the facilities' contribution to climate change. However, divisions remain within the commission on the issue, and one of the four sitting members dissented from the majority decision.

The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission on Thursday decided to approve Venture Global's proposed Calcasieu Pass export terminal in Cameron Parish, Louisiana, as well as a pipeline to supply the facility. The project is one of about a dozen vying to tap surging U.S. natural gas production and export LNG, a form of the fuel chilled to liquid form and shipped overseas in massive tankers.

However, applications have been held up while FERC's four commissioners hash out the greenhouse gas issue. The five-person commission has been down one member since former commissioner and Republican Kevin McIntyre passed away last month, leaving the body split between two Democrats and two Republicans.

FERC Chairman Neil Chatterjee said he's optimistic that in light of Thursday's deal, FERC now has a framework in place that will help the commission more expeditiously process applications.

"No question about it, it's a top priority of mine and I think my colleagues' as well," he told CNBC on Friday.

Neil Chatterjee, chairman of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), listens during an open meeting in Washington, D.C., U.S., on Thursday, Dec. 20, 2018. Andrew Harrer | Bloomberg | Getty Images Neil Chatterjee, chairman of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), listens during an open meeting in Washington, D.C., U.S., on Thursday, Dec. 20, 2018.

FERC has authority over interstate oil and gas pipelines and electric transmission lines, but it also plays a role in approving LNG export terminals, along with the Department of Energy.

Democratic commissioners Cheryl LaFleur and Richard Glick have pushed FERC to exercise its authority to conduct environmental reviews to assess planet-warming greenhouse gas emissions linked to the nation's growing LNG infrastructure.

Chatterjee is a former aide to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. He drew attention early in his tenure at FERC for voicing support for a controversial Trump administration plan to bolster uncompetitive coal and nuclear power plants, but ultimately concurred with a unanimous decision to shoot down the proposal.

His fellow Republican commissioner, Roger McNamee, helped design the plan at the Department of Energy. He lost the support of West Virginia Democrat Sen. Joe Manchin during his FERC nomination after video emerged of McNamee expressing climate change denial.

On Thursday, FERC commissioners reached a compromise of sorts. In approving the Calcasieu Pass project, FERC disclosed the direct greenhouse gas impacts of the project and compared them to the nation's overall inventory of emissions.

Continuing division

LaFleur, who voted to approve the project, said the greenhouse gas disclosure and comparison "provided important context" but said it was only a "first step."

She criticized the commission's "failure" to disclose how the project would contribute to the combined effects of LNG infrastructure development. She also said FERC should have made a determination on the significance of the project's greenhouse gas emissions, an endeavor she called challenging but achievable.

"Indeed, the Commission makes challenging determinations on quantitative and qualitative issues in many other areas of our work, but has simply chosen not to attempt a significance determination in this context," she wrote on Thursday.

Glick, the sole dissenting member, said FERC failed to embrace "reasoned" decision-making while determining whether Calcasieu Pass is in the public interest. He said it failed to meet FERC's requirements under the Natural Gas Act and the National Environmental Policy Act.

"Neither the NGA nor NEPA permit the Commission to assume away the climate change implications of constructing and operating an LNG facility that will directly emit large volumes of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions," he wrote in his dissent. "Yet that is precisely what is happening today."

Since FERC is a quasi-judicial body that sets precedent, Chatterjee says he is confident the commission has a way to address the climate question in future applications, now that a majority has determined FERC's approach is legally viable and durable.

"The reason for my sense of optimism on the pipeline of projects going forward is that from a macro level the biggest sticking point seemed to be how to address this question of considering GHG emissions," he said.

Saturday, February 23, 2019

This Is the Biggest Catalyst for Marijuana Stocks We've Ever Seen

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marijuana stocksFor investors who thought 2018 was the best year yet for cannabis stocks, 2019 is already off to an even better start. This will be by far the best year yet for marijuana stocks, thanks to one exceptional catalyst.

Pot stocks in 2019 will be propelled by CBD. That's an acronym for cannabidiol. It's one of the multiple chemical compounds in marijuana. THC is another one. But CBD, unlike THC, doesn't produce feelings of euphoria or being high. It eases disease symptoms, relieves pain, and can be used for wellness applications.

Many people feel that CBD is one of the best pharmaceutical products to be found in nature. And it's likely to power marijuana stocks for years to come.

STAKE YOUR CLAIM: Three pot stocks in particular could be poised for rare, wild gains of up to 1,000%. Click here to learn how you could see a $2 million "pot payday"…

You see, CBD has tremendous potential to treat numerous medical and psychological conditions. These include autism, schizophrenia, and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), just to name a few.

CBD is also quickly growing in popularity as a treatment to aid general health. It relieves arthritis pain. It increases energy. It has multiple applications in treating domestic pets, like cats and dogs. (They get arthritis too.)

So as good as 2018 was for marijuana stocks, 2019 is poised to become even more of a banner year because of CBD.

Legalization Is Becoming Ever More Likely Through the United States

In December 2018, Congress passed the Farm Bill. In effect, it served to normalize CBD across the United States. In the bill, industrial hemp was made legal at the level of U.S. law. Hemp is a form of the cannabis plant. It's also a primary source of CBD.

The federal legality of hemp means that its farmers can now use banking, agricultural insurance, and U.S. grants. They couldn't use them before, for fear that their crops would be deemed illegal and subject to penalties and even prosecution.

For manufacturers and distributors of hemp, it is now completely legal to transport these products, including CBD, all over the United States, including across state boundaries. Previously, they may have been worried, again, about laws and prosecution.

Because of the Farm Bill, retail stores can now offer and sell CBD products without any fear of U.S. government enforcement actions.

The combination of increasing use by consumers and the lifting of any restrictions is going to create a market for which "booming" is an understatement.

CBD and hemp are estimated to be worth roughly $2 billion this year, according to the Brightfield Group, a research company that specializes in marijuana. By 2022, that figure will have increased more than tenfold, to $22 billion.

Money Morning Director of Cannabis Investing Research Greg Miller thinks the outlook is outstanding. He forecasts that 2019 will go down in the history books as "the year of CBD."

There's more…

In the United States, Marijuana Moment followed 915 legislative bills in states and the U.S. Congress in 2018 involving marijuana, medical cannabis, and hemp. A meaningful number proceeded along the legislative track. At least 147 of them were enacted or signed in the District of Columbia and 35 states.

In 2019, state legislators and the U.S. Congress have proposed over 350 pieces of legislation related to pot.

This March, the United Nations plans to de-schedule CBD, whether it comes from cannabis or hemp plants. This will give CBD-related products more impetus about the world.

These events are catalysts. They are snowballing to end up in an unprecedented market.

The more weed is legalized, the more the public will demand. The more the public demands, the more companies will serve that demand. They will provide marijuana and develop new products containing CBD and marijuana.

Companies have been actively strategizing how they can benefit from legalization. They have been waiting for legalization.

As a result, CBD will be made available in an ever-growing number of products. Tinctures to place in tea and other beverages, or to take with a medicine dropper. Energy shots. Nutrition bars. Gummies. Moisturizers for the skin. CBD is likely to be infused into coffee, honey, and even beer.

As acceptance of marijuana and CBD rises, you will also be able to find the products in stores everywhere. Gone are the days when marijuana couldn't be bought legally and related products were found only in head shops.

For investors, the pot market is set to explode. In a short time, it will be mainstream. But before that happens, marijuana investors are facing a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to profit.

The Top Marijuana Stocks to Watch in February

Join the conversation. Click here to jump to comments…

Thursday, February 21, 2019

Best Energy Stocks To Buy For 2019

tags:NOG,CHK,BPT,IPWR, Related Pair Trading Oil With The VIX Would Have Made Bank This Month Stockpile Liquidation Event Could Hurt U.S. Economy, Analysts Warn Related SPY S&P 500 Index Futures Lower Fed President Says Rates Could Hike In April, Confirms He Is A Cardinals Fan Energy, Financials Weigh On S&P 500 ETFs; Gold Miners Flash Higher (Investor's Business Daily)

Allianz Chief Economic Adviser Mohamed El-Erian appeared on CNBC and said that a range-bound market could soon see more dramatic action, with potential for 10 percent downside.

Best Energy Stocks To Buy For 2019: Northern Oil and Gas, Inc.(NOG)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Joseph Griffin]

    Northland Securities assumed coverage on shares of Northern Oil and Gas (NYSEAMERICAN:NOG) in a report published on Wednesday. The firm issued an outperform rating and a $4.00 price target on the energy company’s stock.

  • [By Ethan Ryder]

    Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. (NYSEAMERICAN:NOG) – Equities research analysts at Imperial Capital cut their FY2019 earnings estimates for Northern Oil & Gas in a note issued to investors on Wednesday, June 13th. Imperial Capital analyst J. Wangler now anticipates that the energy company will post earnings per share of $0.33 for the year, down from their previous forecast of $0.34. Imperial Capital has a “Hold” rating and a $3.00 price objective on the stock.

  • [By Shane Hupp]

    Peel Hunt reiterated their buy rating on shares of Nostrum Oil & Gas (LON:NOG) in a research report sent to investors on Monday morning.

    Separately, Credit Suisse Group reiterated an outperform rating and set a GBX 430 ($5.55) price objective on shares of Nostrum Oil & Gas in a research report on Wednesday, May 23rd. Two investment analysts have rated the stock with a hold rating and three have given a buy rating to the company’s stock. The stock presently has a consensus rating of Buy and a consensus price target of GBX 407 ($5.25).

  • [By Ezra Schwarzbaum]

    SunTrust analyst Neal Dingmann upgraded shares of Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. (NYSE: NOG) from Hold to Buy and increased his price target from $2 to $4.

Best Energy Stocks To Buy For 2019: Chesapeake Energy Corporation(CHK)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Tyler Crowe, Jason Hall, and Matthew DiLallo]

    There are loads of management teams out there that aren't great for shareholders, but Matt, Jason, and I (Tyler here) have a few in particular that get under our skin for their poor performance. Here's why we think those running Chesapeake Energy (NYSE:CHK), Ultra Petroleum (NASDAQ:UPL), and Buckeye Partners (NYSE:BPL) should be shown the door. 

  • [By Paul Ausick]

    Here’s how share prices of the largest U.S. natural gas producers reacted to today’s report:

    Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM), the country’s largest producer of natural gas, traded down about 0.4% to $81.39, in a 52-week range of $72.16 to $89.30. Chesapeake Energy Corp. (NYSE: CHK) traded also traded down about 0.4%, at $5.14 in a 52-week range of $2.53 to $5.44. EOG Resources Inc. (NYSE: EOG) traded down about 0.5% to $123.29. The 52-week range is $81.99 to $128.03.

    In addition, the United States Natural Gas ETF (NYSEARCA: UNG) traded up about 0.1% at $24.20 in a 52-week range of $24.15 to $27.92.

  • [By Matthew DiLallo, Jason Hall, and Tyler Crowe]

    Meanwhile, Chesapeake Energy (NYSE:CHK) noted in its second-quarter earnings release that the PRB was "quickly establishing itself as the growth engine of the company." Chesapeake's production had already rocketed from 18,000 BOE/D at the end of 2017 to 32,000 BOE/D by mid-July. However, Chesapeake sees its output in the region reaching 38,000 BOE/D by year-end and then doubling in 2019 from this year's average daily rate.

  • [By Paul Ausick]

    Here’s how share prices of the largest U.S. natural gas producers reacted to Thursday’s report:

    Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM), the country’s largest producer of natural gas, traded down about 0.3%, at $81.14 in a 52-week range of $72.16 to $89.30. Chesapeake Energy Corp. (NYSE: CHK) traded down about 3.0%, at $4.18 in a 52-week range of $2.53 to $5.60. EOG Resources Inc. (NYSE: EOG) traded down about 1.0% to $116.71. The 52-week range is $86.08 to $131.60.

    Furthermore, the United States Natural Gas ETF (NYSEARCA: UNG) traded down about 0.7%, at $22.77 in a 52-week range of $20.40 to $27.92.

Best Energy Stocks To Buy For 2019: BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust(BPT)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Dan Caplinger]

    Sometimes, though, you can have too much of a good thing. Dividend stocks with top dividend yields come with special risks, and although that doesn't guarantee that you'll get burned, the chances of a setback are greater. Below, I'll look at BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust (NYSE:BPT), CenturyLink (NYSE:CTL), and Annaly Capital Management (NYSE:NLY) to explain why their yields are so high and what dangers could lurk beneath the surface.

  • [By Joseph Griffin]

    Blockport (CURRENCY:BPT) traded up 1.6% against the dollar during the twenty-four hour period ending at 9:00 AM Eastern on September 17th. One Blockport token can now be purchased for approximately $0.0832 or 0.00001291 BTC on major exchanges including Kucoin and IDEX. Over the last week, Blockport has traded 5.8% higher against the dollar. Blockport has a market capitalization of $4.40 million and $23,852.00 worth of Blockport was traded on exchanges in the last 24 hours.

  • [By Ethan Ryder]

    Blockport (CURRENCY:BPT) traded down 0.3% against the U.S. dollar during the 1-day period ending at 23:00 PM ET on September 14th. One Blockport token can now be bought for $0.0819 or 0.00001261 BTC on popular cryptocurrency exchanges including Kucoin and IDEX. Over the last week, Blockport has traded down 2.3% against the U.S. dollar. Blockport has a total market cap of $4.33 million and $60,265.00 worth of Blockport was traded on exchanges in the last 24 hours.

  • [By Stephan Byrd]

    Blockport (CURRENCY:BPT) traded 3.2% higher against the U.S. dollar during the 24 hour period ending at 20:00 PM Eastern on October 5th. Over the last week, Blockport has traded 21.8% higher against the U.S. dollar. Blockport has a total market capitalization of $5.67 million and $62,493.00 worth of Blockport was traded on exchanges in the last day. One Blockport token can currently be purchased for approximately $0.11 or 0.00001620 BTC on major exchanges including Kucoin and IDEX.

Best Energy Stocks To Buy For 2019: Ideal Power Inc.(IPWR)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Stephan Byrd]

    Get a free copy of the Zacks research report on Ideal Power (IPWR)

    For more information about research offerings from Zacks Investment Research, visit Zacks.com

  • [By Logan Wallace]

    Here are some of the news headlines that may have effected Accern Sentiment’s rankings:

    Get Ideal Power alerts: Ideal Power (IPWR) Expected to Announce Quarterly Sales of $390,000.00 (americanbankingnews.com) -$0.15 EPS Expected for Ideal Power (IPWR) This Quarter (americanbankingnews.com) Ideal Power Receives 1.1 Megawatt Purchase Order for its SunDial™ Plus Inverters (investingnews.com) Ideal Power Receives 1.1 Megawatt Purchase Order for its SunDial™ Plus Inverters from NEXTracker for One of the Largest Solar-and-Storage Installations in Iowa (finance.yahoo.com)

    A number of equities analysts have commented on the stock. Zacks Investment Research raised shares of Ideal Power from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating and set a $1.50 price target for the company in a research note on Wednesday, January 10th. HC Wainwright reissued a “buy” rating and issued a $4.00 price target on shares of Ideal Power in a research note on Wednesday, March 7th. Roth Capital reissued a “hold” rating and issued a $1.00 price target on shares of Ideal Power in a research note on Wednesday, March 7th. Finally, B. Riley cut shares of Ideal Power from a “buy” rating to a “neutral” rating and cut their price target for the stock from $5.00 to $2.50 in a research note on Wednesday, March 7th. One research analyst has rated the stock with a sell rating, three have issued a hold rating and two have assigned a buy rating to the stock. Ideal Power currently has a consensus rating of “Hold” and a consensus price target of $3.00.

  • [By Max Byerly]

    Get a free copy of the Zacks research report on Ideal Power (IPWR)

    For more information about research offerings from Zacks Investment Research, visit Zacks.com

Wednesday, February 20, 2019

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Equities Analysts Decrease Earnings Estimates for Charles River Labor

Charles River Laboratories Intl. Inc (NYSE:CRL) – Investment analysts at Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group decreased their Q2 2019 earnings per share (EPS) estimates for Charles River Laboratories Intl. in a research report issued on Wednesday, February 13th. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group analyst J. Twizell now anticipates that the medical research company will post earnings per share of $1.62 for the quarter, down from their prior forecast of $1.63. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group also issued estimates for Charles River Laboratories Intl.’s FY2019 earnings at $6.45 EPS and Q1 2020 earnings at $1.53 EPS.

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A number of other research analysts have also recently weighed in on the company. Zacks Investment Research upgraded Charles River Laboratories Intl. from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating and set a $156.00 price target for the company in a research report on Thursday, February 14th. Barclays restated a “hold” rating and issued a $135.00 price target on shares of Charles River Laboratories Intl. in a research report on Thursday, February 14th. SunTrust Banks raised their price target on Charles River Laboratories Intl. to $151.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a research report on Thursday, February 14th. Jefferies Financial Group restated a “buy” rating and issued a $162.00 price target on shares of Charles River Laboratories Intl. in a research report on Thursday, February 14th. Finally, ValuEngine cut Charles River Laboratories Intl. from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research report on Friday, January 4th. Seven analysts have rated the stock with a hold rating and nine have assigned a buy rating to the stock. Charles River Laboratories Intl. currently has an average rating of “Buy” and an average target price of $140.21.

Shares of CRL stock opened at $140.86 on Monday. Charles River Laboratories Intl. has a fifty-two week low of $101.58 and a fifty-two week high of $141.53. The firm has a market capitalization of $6.77 billion, a PE ratio of 23.36, a PEG ratio of 1.83 and a beta of 0.99. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.24, a current ratio of 1.61 and a quick ratio of 1.32.

Charles River Laboratories Intl. (NYSE:CRL) last announced its quarterly earnings results on Wednesday, February 13th. The medical research company reported $1.49 earnings per share for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.39 by $0.10. Charles River Laboratories Intl. had a return on equity of 24.09% and a net margin of 9.99%. The business had revenue of $605.53 million during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $589.86 million. During the same quarter last year, the business posted $1.40 earnings per share. The business’s revenue for the quarter was up 26.5% on a year-over-year basis.

A number of large investors have recently modified their holdings of the business. BlackRock Inc. boosted its stake in Charles River Laboratories Intl. by 0.4% in the 4th quarter. BlackRock Inc. now owns 4,530,012 shares of the medical research company’s stock worth $512,709,000 after buying an additional 18,491 shares during the last quarter. FMR LLC boosted its stake in Charles River Laboratories Intl. by 51.9% in the 3rd quarter. FMR LLC now owns 1,869,469 shares of the medical research company’s stock worth $251,518,000 after buying an additional 638,644 shares during the last quarter. Renaissance Technologies LLC boosted its stake in Charles River Laboratories Intl. by 13.8% in the 3rd quarter. Renaissance Technologies LLC now owns 1,724,800 shares of the medical research company’s stock worth $232,055,000 after buying an additional 209,500 shares during the last quarter. Wells Fargo & Company MN boosted its stake in Charles River Laboratories Intl. by 5.9% in the 3rd quarter. Wells Fargo & Company MN now owns 1,394,064 shares of the medical research company’s stock worth $187,556,000 after buying an additional 77,429 shares during the last quarter. Finally, First Trust Advisors LP boosted its stake in Charles River Laboratories Intl. by 28.0% in the 4th quarter. First Trust Advisors LP now owns 1,099,399 shares of the medical research company’s stock worth $124,430,000 after buying an additional 240,437 shares during the last quarter. 99.47% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

In related news, Chairman James C. Foster sold 1,977 shares of the stock in a transaction on Monday, December 10th. The stock was sold at an average price of $129.11, for a total transaction of $255,250.47. Following the sale, the chairman now owns 267,676 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $34,559,648.36. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which can be accessed through this hyperlink. Also, Chairman James C. Foster sold 25,000 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction dated Tuesday, January 8th. The stock was sold at an average price of $115.00, for a total value of $2,875,000.00. The disclosure for this sale can be found here. In the last ninety days, insiders have sold 30,417 shares of company stock worth $3,590,419. Corporate insiders own 2.10% of the company’s stock.

Charles River Laboratories Intl. Company Profile

Charles River Laboratories International, Inc, an early-stage contract research company, provides drug discovery, non-clinical development, and safety testing services worldwide. It operates through three segments: Research Models and Services (RMS), Discovery and Safety Assessment (DSA), and Manufacturing Support (Manufacturing).

Read More: The risks of owning bonds

Earnings History and Estimates for Charles River Laboratories Intl. (NYSE:CRL)

Tuesday, February 19, 2019

Tower International Inc (TOWR) Receives Average Rating of “Hold” from Brokerages

Tower International Inc (NYSE:TOWR) has received an average rating of “Hold” from the five ratings firms that are covering the company, MarketBeat reports. Two equities research analysts have rated the stock with a sell recommendation, two have issued a hold recommendation and one has given a buy recommendation to the company. The average twelve-month price target among brokerages that have issued a report on the stock in the last year is $30.00.

Several brokerages have recently commented on TOWR. ValuEngine upgraded shares of Tower International from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research report on Wednesday, October 31st. Zacks Investment Research upgraded shares of Tower International from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating and set a $34.00 price objective on the stock in a research report on Thursday, November 1st. Finally, Roth Capital set a $36.00 price objective on shares of Tower International and gave the company a “buy” rating in a research report on Tuesday, October 30th.

Get Tower International alerts:

TOWR traded up $0.46 during trading on Wednesday, hitting $25.28. The company’s stock had a trading volume of 249,068 shares, compared to its average volume of 161,246. The company has a current ratio of 1.08, a quick ratio of 0.88 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.93. Tower International has a one year low of $22.67 and a one year high of $36.65. The company has a market capitalization of $520.95 million, a PE ratio of 7.22, a PEG ratio of 1.04 and a beta of 2.19.

Tower International (NYSE:TOWR) last released its quarterly earnings results on Tuesday, February 12th. The auto parts company reported $0.74 earnings per share for the quarter, missing the Thomson Reuters’ consensus estimate of $1.14 by ($0.40). Tower International had a return on equity of 25.31% and a net margin of 2.42%. The business had revenue of $377.27 million during the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $524.30 million. During the same quarter in the previous year, the business posted $0.96 earnings per share. The firm’s revenue was up 6.3% on a year-over-year basis. Equities analysts forecast that Tower International will post 2.95 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.

The company also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Thursday, February 28th. Stockholders of record on Thursday, February 7th will be given a dividend of $0.13 per share. The ex-dividend date of this dividend is Wednesday, February 6th. This represents a $0.52 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 2.06%. Tower International’s payout ratio is 14.86%.

Several hedge funds have recently made changes to their positions in the company. Public Employees Retirement System of Ohio raised its position in shares of Tower International by 134.2% during the 4th quarter. Public Employees Retirement System of Ohio now owns 26,980 shares of the auto parts company’s stock valued at $642,000 after purchasing an additional 15,462 shares during the period. Municipal Employees Retirement System of Michigan bought a new stake in shares of Tower International during the 4th quarter valued at $687,000. Metropolitan Life Insurance Co. NY raised its position in shares of Tower International by 334.7% during the 4th quarter. Metropolitan Life Insurance Co. NY now owns 6,499 shares of the auto parts company’s stock valued at $155,000 after purchasing an additional 5,004 shares during the period. Oberweis Asset Management Inc. raised its position in shares of Tower International by 21.5% during the 4th quarter. Oberweis Asset Management Inc. now owns 19,180 shares of the auto parts company’s stock valued at $456,000 after purchasing an additional 3,400 shares during the period. Finally, Geode Capital Management LLC raised its position in shares of Tower International by 7.5% during the 4th quarter. Geode Capital Management LLC now owns 220,387 shares of the auto parts company’s stock valued at $5,245,000 after purchasing an additional 15,455 shares during the period. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 89.89% of the company’s stock.

Tower International Company Profile

Tower International, Inc manufactures and sells engineered automotive structural metal components and assemblies primarily for original equipment manufacturers. It operates in two segments, North America and Europe. The company provides body structures and assemblies, including structural metal components, which comprise body pillars, roof rails, and side sills; and Class A surfaces and assemblies that consist of body sides, hoods, doors, fenders, and pickup truck boxes.

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Monday, February 18, 2019

Is It Time We Blamed Social Security's Cash Crunch on Low Birth Rates?

Social Security is our nation's most important social program. It's responsible for providing benefits to nearly 63 million people each month, more than 22 million of whom are kept out of poverty as a result of their benefit checks. But Social Security is inching toward big trouble.

Social Security's $13.2 trillion dilemma

Although nothing is for certain, the 2018 report from the Social Security Board of Trustees portends a big shift on the horizon for the program. Namely, it's nearing an inflection point that'll see the program spend more money than it collects in a given year. The last time that happened was all the way back in 1982, the year before the Reagan administration passed the last major overhaul of the Social Security program.

A Social Security card standing up on a table, with the name and number blurred out.

Image source: Getty Images.

In plain English, it simply means that more money will start flowing out of Social Security than can be replaced via payroll tax revenue, the taxation of Social Security benefits, and the interest income earned on its close to $2.9 trillion in asset reserves. These net cash outflows can be sustainable for a bit, thanks to the program's aforementioned asset reserves, but Social Security can't withstand hemorrhaging money forever.

By 2034, the Trustees report projects that this almost $2.9 trillion in excess money will be gone, paving the way for what might be a very steep cut in benefits to then-current and future beneficiaries of up to 21%. Mind you, 62% of today's retired workers lean on Social Security for at least half of their monthly income.

In nominal terms, the Trustees quantified the program's long-term (75 year) cash shortfall between 2034 and 2092 at $13.2 trillion -- and this figure is growing with each passing year. In essence, if lawmakers were to raise $13.2 trillion in revenue over this defined period and/or make expenditure cuts, then no reduction in payouts would be necessary.

Is it time for us to blame the real culprit: declining U.S. fertility rates?

One of the biggest points of contention regarding Social Security's cash crunch is what, exactly, is responsible. Some of the finger-pointing has gone to baby boomers, while other folks have chosen to blame increased longevity or growing income inequality. Even Congress takes the blame, but often for the incorrect reason. However, there could be a plain-as-day answer as to why Social Security's future is in doubt if you're willing to dig beneath the surface: low fertility rates.

Although Social Security is occasionally viewed as a Ponzi scheme, it's nothing of the sort. It is, however, a social investment in the financial well-being of our elderly population that's funded predominantly by taxing the earnings of working-age Americans. In order for such an arrangement to succeed, birth rates have to remain relatively constant over time to ensure that retiring workers are being replaced by new workers in the labor force.

A married couple cradling their newborn baby.

Image source: Getty Images.

Of course, we've seen a few anomalies in birth rates from the average of about two births per woman over their lifetimes. Shortly after the end of World War II, in the mid-1950s, the fertility rate peaked at 3.7 births per woman. This period of exceptionally high birth rates is where we get the term "baby boomer." But since roughly 1971, birth rates have hovered around the two births per-woman mark.

However, since the Great Recession, we've witnessed a precipitous decline in fertility rates. After hitting 2.1 births per woman in 2010, the birth rate now finds itself at a 40-year low of 1.76 births per woman. Should this rate of lower births continue, it would result in fewer people entering the workforce in the decades to come, leading to an even greater chance of a decline in the worker-to-beneficiary ratio.

According to the Trustees' estimates, even a 10% drop (to 1.8 births per woman) below the projected long-term constant of two births per woman can have a devastating impact on Social Security's long-term projections. At two births per woman, the annual balance for Social Security come 2092 would be negative 4.32%.  But if the fertility rate fell to 1.8 births per woman, the annual balance widens 152 basis points to negative 5.84%. We're talking trillions of dollars in adverse impacts to the program and a considerably wider cash shortfall than is currently advertised. 

Explaining the decline in U.S. birth rates

Why have birth rates been declining so rapidly this decade? Again, you won't find a single answer, but rather a handful of plausible hypothesis.

One logical suggestion is that the economy is to blame. Sure, we've seen some years of strong earnings growth since 2010, but the devastating nature of the Great Recession, which at its peak saw the broad-based S&P 500 decline 57% and the unemployment rate hit 10%, is still fresh in the minds of American families. Being more financially conscious than their parents who may not have dealt with a major financial crisis, today's couples are waiting longer and trying to save more money before bringing a child into this world.

An empty baby crib with a stuffed animal in the corner.

Image source: Getty Images.

Another postulation is that improvements in access to birth control, as well as increased education in school, has dramatically reduced teen pregnancy rates (defined as women aged 15 to 19). Back in 1990, the teen birth rate per 1,000 women was well above 50. However, by 2017, this figure had fallen to a birth rate of about 20 per 1,000 women. Interestingly enough, birth rates have actually risen for older moms (aged 35 to 44), providing additional evidence that couples are waiting longer before having children. 

A third idea, somewhat similar to the above, is that we've witnessed a drop in unintended pregnancies. Improvements in access to long-term contraceptives have given couples more control over when they have children.

Whatever the reasons actually are, the reality for Social Security is very simple: Without ample replacement workers for future generations of retirees, the cost to fix Social Security is going to be considerably higher than forecast. This cost is more than likely going to be paid by working Americans since nearly 88% of the $1 trillion in revenue collected by the program in 2017 was generated from the payroll tax on earned income.

What's more, if the cost to resolve Social Security's cash crunch widens, it means the possibility of a steeper benefit cut than 21% may be needed come 2034. Understandably, the fertility rate would have to remain low for a considerable amount of time for that to happen. But with birth rates falling for nearly a decade straight, this is beginning to look less like an anomaly and more like a new normal. For those of your expecting to be reliant on Social Security income during retirement, this is certainly a wake-up call.

Sunday, February 17, 2019

NVIDIA Earnings: A Train Wreck, but the Market Was Relieved Guidance Wasn't Worse

NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) reported fourth-quarter and full-year earnings for fiscal 2019 after the market closed on Thursday. For the quarter, revenue fell 24%, earnings per share dropped 48%, and EPS adjusted for one-time items plunged 53%.

Investors already knew the graphics processing unit (GPU) specialist's headline numbers were going to be very disappointing. That's because on Jan. 28, it ratcheted back its already-weak guidance for the quarter, citing slowing global growth, particularly in China, and other factors.

Shares of NVIDIA closed up 1.8% on Friday. We can probably attribute the slight gain to the fact that much bad news was already priced into the stock -- shares plunged nearly 14% on Jan. 28 after the company lowered its outlook -- adjusted EPS came in a bit higher than the company had guided for in its revised outlook, and guidance for fiscal 2020 was probably not as bad as some had feared. 

NVIDIA stock is up 17.9% in 2019 through Friday, though shares are down nearly 35% over the last year. The S&P 500 has returned 11% and 4.9%, respectively, over these same periods.

Profile of a person overlaid on a semiconductor and digital background -- concept for AI.

Image source: Getty Images.

The key numbers

Metric

Fiscal Q4 2019 

Fiscal Q4 2018

Change (YOY)

Revenue

$2.21 billion

$2.91 billion

(24%)

Operating income

$294 million $1.07 billion (73%)

Net income

$567 billion  $1.12 billion (49%) 

GAAP earnings per share (EPS)

$0.92 $1.78 (48%)

Adjusted EPS

$0.80 $1.72 (53%) 

Data source: NVIDIA. GAAP = generally accepted accounting principles. YOY = year over year.

For the quarter, GAAP gross margin came in at 54.7%, down from 61.9% in the year-ago quarter. Adjusted gross margin was 56%, down from 62% in the fourth quarter of last fiscal year. 

For fiscal 2019, revenue rose 21% year over year to $11.72 billion, GAAP EPS jumped 38% to $6.63, and adjusted EPS increased 35% to $6.64.

For the quarter, NVIDIA has originally guided for revenue or $2.7 billion, plus or minus 2%, but on Jan. 28 axed that back to $2.2 billion, plus or minus 2%. So its revenue result hit the lowered outlook on target. The company doesn't directly provide earnings guidance, but from the expectations it does provide, we could calculate that it was anticipating adjusted EPS to come in at about $0.77. So NVIDIA slightly exceeded its lowered adjusted profit outlook. 

Gaming's poor results drag down overall results 

Platform

Fiscal Q4 2019 Revenue

Change (YOY)

Change (QOQ)

Gaming

 $954 million

(45%) 

(46%)

Data center

 $679 million 

12%

(14%)

Professional visualization

 $293 million

15% 

(4%)

Automotive

 $163 million

23%

(5%)

OEM and IP*

 $116 million

(36%) (22%)

Total

 $2.21 billion

(24%)

(31%)

Data source: NVIDIA. *OEM and IP = original equipment manufacturer and intellectual property. YOY = year over year. QOQ = quarter over quarter.

Three of NVIDIA's four target platforms -- data center, professional visualization, and auto -- managed to grow on a year-over-year basis, though they all lost ground from last quarter. However, their year-over-year gains were not enough to compensate for gaming's terrible performance since gaming is so large. On the earnings call, CFO Colette Kress explained the three reasons for gaming's poor quarter: 

First, post-crypto [post-cryptocurrency bust] inventory of GPUs in the channel caused us to reduce shipments in order to allow access channel inventory to sell through. We expect channel inventories to normalize in Q1, in line with the one-to-two-quarter timeline we had outlined on our previous earnings call. Second, deteriorating macroeconomic conditions, particularly in China, impacted consumer demand for our GPUs.

And third, sales of certain high-end GPUs using our new Turing architecture ... were lower than we expected for the launch of a new architecture. These products deliver a revolutionary leap in performance and innovation with real-time ray tracing and AI [artificial intelligence] [capabilities], but some customers may have delayed their purchase while waiting for lower price points or further demonstration of the RTX technology in actual games.

As to the slowdown in data center -- which had been growing rapidly in recent years -- NVIDIA said on Jan. 28 that a "number of deals in the company's forecast did not close in the last month of the quarter as customers shifted to a more cautious approach." This caution was widespread across verticals and due to concerns about a slowing global economy. 

Guidance 

For the first quarter of fiscal 2020, NVIDIA guided for revenue of $2.20 billion, plus or minus 2%. At the midpoint, this represents a decline of 31% year over year and is flat with the fourth quarter. For the full fiscal year, the company expects revenue to be "flat or down slightly."

After what happened this quarter with the much-too-rosy initial guidance and the fact that Kress said on the earnings call that the company's "visibility remains low in the current cautious spending environment, and we don't forecast a meaningful recovery in the data center segment until later in the year," investors might not want to place too much confidence in the full-year guidance.

A "turbulent quarter"

In the earnings release, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang summed up the quarter by saying that it "was a turbulent close to what had been a great year." Some factors -- such as the deteriorating macroeconomic conditions -- were and are out of the company's control, however, top management made some gaffes that added to the company's woes. 

While things could remain somewhat rocky for a while, the long-term picture for NVIDIA is still attractive. As I wrote last quarter: 

Nothing has changed with respect to the gaming market's rosy long-term growth projections or NVIDIA's position as the dominant supplier of graphics cards to gamers. Moreover, the company's growth opportunities from AI and driverless vehicles remain powerful.

Veros (VRS) Achieves Market Cap of $435,712.00

Veros (CURRENCY:VRS) traded up 13.8% against the U.S. dollar during the one day period ending at 15:00 PM Eastern on February 16th. During the last week, Veros has traded down 6.6% against the U.S. dollar. One Veros token can now be bought for about $0.0079 or 0.00000217 BTC on popular exchanges including Crex24, Sistemkoin and Livecoin. Veros has a market cap of $435,712.00 and approximately $43,449.00 worth of Veros was traded on exchanges in the last day.

Here’s how related cryptocurrencies have performed during the last day:

Get Veros alerts: XRP (XRP) traded up 0.8% against the dollar and now trades at $0.30 or 0.00008319 BTC. Tether (USDT) traded 0.3% lower against the dollar and now trades at $1.00 or 0.00027553 BTC. TRON (TRX) traded down 0.2% against the dollar and now trades at $0.0241 or 0.00000660 BTC. Stellar (XLM) traded 1.2% lower against the dollar and now trades at $0.0781 or 0.00002146 BTC. Binance Coin (BNB) traded 0.8% lower against the dollar and now trades at $9.16 or 0.00251464 BTC. Bitcoin SV (BSV) traded up 0.4% against the dollar and now trades at $62.42 or 0.01713694 BTC. NEO (NEO) traded down 0.7% against the dollar and now trades at $8.08 or 0.00221713 BTC. VeChain (VET) traded 5.8% higher against the dollar and now trades at $0.0041 or 0.00000114 BTC. TrueUSD (TUSD) traded down 0.2% against the dollar and now trades at $1.01 or 0.00027844 BTC. Holo (HOT) traded 1.9% higher against the dollar and now trades at $0.0013 or 0.00000036 BTC.

About Veros

Veros’ launch date was November 1st, 2016. Veros’ total supply is 80,000,000 tokens and its circulating supply is 55,183,508 tokens. Veros’ official website is vedh.io. Veros’ official Twitter account is @Veros_currency.

Veros Token Trading

Veros can be bought or sold on the following cryptocurrency exchanges: Livecoin, Sistemkoin and Crex24. It is usually not presently possible to purchase alternative cryptocurrencies such as Veros directly using U.S. dollars. Investors seeking to trade Veros should first purchase Bitcoin or Ethereum using an exchange that deals in U.S. dollars such as GDAX, Gemini or Coinbase. Investors can then use their newly-acquired Bitcoin or Ethereum to purchase Veros using one of the aforementioned exchanges.

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Friday, February 15, 2019

PRO Talks: Leuthold investments strategist Ramsey likes value, overseas stocks

[This video is exclusive content for CNBC PRO subscribers and will appear above this story when logged in.]

Doug Ramsey, the chief investment officer of The Leuthold Group, said U.S. equities may still be in the throes of an extended bear market and he would look to domestic value stocks or even overseas for better investment ideas.

"Out of the last 30 up weeks in the S&P 500, 29 have been led by the Russell 1000 growth over value," Ramsey said during an exclusive interview for CNBC PRO with Mike Santoli. "If you're looking for renewal, refreshment of this market usually there's a turnover in leadership and it's hard to spot necessarily where that would be. I do think there's a good chance, when the real bear arrives, and we may still be in it, you will see a rotation from growth into value."

Investors have wondered why the stock market leadership has yet to shift from successful-but-pricey growth stocks to cheaper value plays tied to the health of the U.S. economy. But even though steep growth valuations may in theory make some investors uncomfortable, convincing investors to put cash into neglected value stocks could require some coaxing. The S&P 500 value stock-tracking ETF, IVE, has lost more than 1 percent over the past 12 months while the IVW, which tracks S&P 500 growth stocks, has gained 4 percent.

The same logic could apply to international equities, Ramsey said, which for years have underperformed U.S. stocks.

"You've had an 11-year run now in domestic over international. The S&P is at a 50 percent price-to-earnings premium to EFA versus a 15 percent discount 12 years ago," the investor said, referring to the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF, which tracks the investment results of a basket of stocks outside the U.S. and Canada.

"If we're still in the same market here, I think domestic will lead it. But when we lapse into a bear, and again there's a good chance I think we're still in one, you should see a rotation over to international."

Thursday, February 14, 2019

Iconix Brand Group (ICON) Trading Up 6.7%

Iconix Brand Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:ICON)’s share price was up 6.7% on Tuesday . The company traded as high as $0.17 and last traded at $0.16. Approximately 603,252 shares changed hands during trading, a decline of 48% from the average daily volume of 1,162,726 shares. The stock had previously closed at $0.15.

The company has a market capitalization of $12.18 million, a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.53 and a beta of 2.38.

Get Iconix Brand Group alerts:

Large investors have recently bought and sold shares of the business. Jane Street Group LLC purchased a new position in Iconix Brand Group during the second quarter worth approximately $147,000. Renaissance Technologies LLC increased its position in shares of Iconix Brand Group by 1,020.2% in the third quarter. Renaissance Technologies LLC now owns 672,121 shares of the brand management company’s stock worth $208,000 after acquiring an additional 612,121 shares in the last quarter. Vanguard Group Inc increased its position in shares of Iconix Brand Group by 17.9% in the third quarter. Vanguard Group Inc now owns 4,461,444 shares of the brand management company’s stock worth $1,384,000 after acquiring an additional 676,877 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Vanguard Group Inc. increased its position in shares of Iconix Brand Group by 17.9% in the third quarter. Vanguard Group Inc. now owns 4,461,444 shares of the brand management company’s stock worth $1,384,000 after acquiring an additional 676,877 shares in the last quarter. 19.76% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.

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About Iconix Brand Group (NASDAQ:ICON)

Iconix Brand Group, Inc is a brand management company. As of December 31, 2016, the Company owned a portfolio of over 30 global consumer brands across women’s, men’s, and home categories. The Company operates through segments: men’s, women’s, home and international. The Company’s brand portfolio includes brands, such as Candie’s, Bongo, Joe Boxer, Rampage, Mudd, London Fog, Mossimo, Ocean Pacific/OP, Danskin/Danskin Now, Rocawear/Roc Nation, Cannon, Royal Velvet, Fieldcrest, Charisma, Starter, Waverly, Ecko Unltd/Mark Ecko Cut & Sew, Zoo York, Umbro, Lee Cooper and Artful Dodger, and interests in Material Girl, Ed Hardy, Truth or Dare, Modern Amusement, Buffalo, Nick Graham Hydraulic and PONY brands.

Further Reading: Why is the LIBOR significant?

Wednesday, February 13, 2019

Formula 1: Liqui Moly Invests Millions On Ads To Boost International Brand Profile

&l;p&g;&l;img class=&q;dam-image ap size-large wp-image-3ab41e78d621415293a1839150f48a04&q; src=&q;https://specials-images.forbesimg.com/dam/imageserve/3ab41e78d621415293a1839150f48a04/960x0.jpg?fit=scale&q; data-height=&q;586&q; data-width=&q;960&q;&g; Mercedes driver Valtteri Bottas of Finland, center left, leads at the start of the 2017 Bahrain Formula One Grand Prix at the F1 Bahrain International Circuit in Sakhir, Bahrain, &l;span&g;April 16, 2017.&a;nbsp;&l;/span&g;(Photcocredit: Associated Press/Hassan Ammar).

&a;nbsp;

Holy Moley! The oil and additive specialist, &l;a href=&q;https://www.liqui-moly.com/en/company/about-us.html&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;Liqui Moly&l;/a&g;, part of the W&a;uuml;rth Group, is joining up again with the world of Formula One (F1) by investing millions of U.S. dollars to advertise trackside at eleven F1 meetings - as one of just a few select brands. And, it could well pay dividends.

The goal of the campaign from the German-based company founded in 1957 is to entice an estimated global audience of more that one billion viewers each year who follow the F1 championship to become more familiar with the company&a;rsquo;s brands, and ultimately boost sales of their products, which are sold in some 120 countries.

The deal also comes a couple of months after the company headquartered in Ulm, a city in the south German state of Baden-W&a;uuml;rttemberg, reported new record turnover of &a;nbsp;&a;euro;544 million (c.$615 million). That said, this figure was just 2% higher than the previous year.

The company at the time of these figures (December 27, 2018) cited international trade disputes, a weak Russian ruble, the hot summer and increasing costs (especially dramatically increased crude oil prices), for having contributed to a &a;ldquo;significant slowing down&a;rdquo; in earnings growth.

As such, the firm is seeking to push envelope by initiating this F1 ad campaign, especially as their domestic market share is at its virtual peak and the growth they see as lying overseas.

Ernst Prost, CEO of Liqui Moly, commenting on this F1 development said: &a;ldquo;The aim of advertising in Formula 1 is to raise our brand profile. Oils and additives do their job invisibly, hidden in the depths of the engine. They&a;rsquo;re not products that drivers see and get thrilled about on a day-to-day basis. This is why brand visibility is all the more important. And, top-class quality alone is not much help if nobody knows about the benefits.&a;rdquo;

Liqui Moly is to be showcased trackside for the first time on a large scale at the Bahrain Grand Prix on March 31, 2019. And, thereafter the company&a;rsquo;s logo will be on show at half of the remaining races in the F1 calendar. Prost asserted that F1 and Liqui Moly were a great match - saying that &a;ldquo;after all, both stand for absolute top-class performance.&a;rdquo;

Following the &l;a href=&q;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bahrain_Grand_Prix&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;Bahrain Grand Prix&l;/a&g;, the German company&a;rsquo;s logo will be on show at half of the remaining races. It is understood that the campaign will cost the company several million dollars, but declined be specific about the exact consideration.

&a;ldquo;If you want to reach that many people all over the world, you can&a;rsquo;t be a penny pincher: you have to think globally and make huge investments,&a;rdquo; Prost ventured.

Formula 1 is not new to the lubricant brand. Back in the early &a;ldquo;noughties&a;rdquo; (2000&a;rsquo;s) Liqui Moly was involved with &l;a href=&q;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jordan_Grand_Prix&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;Team Jordan&l;/a&g;.

As for the sponsorships of privately held parent company W&a;uuml;rth Group, in addition to having supplied tools and fasteners to &l;a href=&q;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panasonic_Toyota_Racing&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;Panasonic Toyota Racing&l;/a&g;&a;nbsp;in F1 (2008) and the company&s;s logo featuring in the pit garage and team trucks, in the U.S. W&a;uuml;rth became a primary sponsor in seven Nationwide Series&a;nbsp;races on the #12&a;nbsp;&l;a href=&q;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Team_Penske&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;Team Penske&l;/a&g;&a;nbsp;&l;a href=&q;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dodge&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;Dodge&l;/a&g;/&l;a href=&q;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ford_Motor_Company&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;Ford&l;/a&g; for the 2012 season. And, in 2014 it was a primary sponsor in four&a;nbsp;&l;a href=&q;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monster_Energy_NASCAR_Cup_Series&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series&l;/a&g;&a;nbsp;races on Brad Keselowski&a;nbsp;of Team Penske&s;s #2&a;nbsp;Ford Fusion.

&l;a href=&q;https://blogs.forbes.com/rogeraitken/files/2019/02/Baumann_Prost_Hiermaier.jpg&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;&l;img class=&q;size-large wp-image-12093&q; src=&q;http://blogs-images.forbes.com/rogeraitken/files/2019/02/Baumann_Prost_Hiermaier-1200x800.jpg?width=960&q; alt=&q;&q; data-height=&q;800&q; data-width=&q;1200&q;&g;&l;/a&g; Liqui Moly&s;s Peter Baumann,Marketing Director, CEO Ernst Prost and G&a;uuml;nter Hiermaier, Sales Director and second CEO, shown standing from left to right. (Photocredit: Liqui Moly).

&l;/p&g;&l;div&g;&l;/div&g;

&l;div&g;&l;strong&g;Formula One&s;s Global Reach&l;/strong&g;&l;/div&g;

&l;div&g;&l;/div&g;

&l;div&g;&l;span&g;The global reach of F1 and its massive fan base certainly makes it attractive avenue for investment&a;nbsp;for the &l;a href=&q;https://www.raconteur.net/business-innovation/the-top-10-most-famous-brands-in-formula-1&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;most famous brands&l;/a&g;. And, LiquiMoly latest maneouvre in the sponsorship stakes, follows on from one the largest&a;nbsp;&l;/span&g;&l;span&g;sponsorship agreements in motorsport history in 2016. This was when Dutch brewing giant Heineken teamed up with F1 in a deal worth around a reported $200 million.&a;nbsp;&l;/span&g;&l;/div&g;

&l;div&g;&l;/div&g;

&l;div&g;&l;span&g;The brewer struck an agreement - running to 2023 - that enabled to have&a;nbsp;&l;/span&g;&l;span&g;title sponsorship for numerous F1 races and substantial trackside presence and branding across the season.&l;/span&g;&l;/div&g;

&l;div&g;&l;/div&g;

&l;div&g;&l;span&g;Elsewhere,&a;nbsp;&l;/span&g;&l;span&g;Mobil 1, a brand of&a;nbsp;&l;/span&g;&l;span&g;ExxonMobil, had a 21-year-long technical partnership with McLaren that came to a conclusion in 2017. And, while&a;nbsp;&l;/span&g;&l;span&g;Shell ended its trackside F1 sponsorship deal in 2016, it subsequently geared its efforts more on its partnership with&a;nbsp;Ferrari.&l;/span&g;&l;/div&g;

&l;strong&g;Branding: Oils &a;amp; Additives&l;/strong&g;

&a;ldquo;Oils and additives do their job invisibly, hidden in the depths of the engine,&a;rdquo; Prost went on in explaining the rationale for the latest campaign. &a;ldquo;They&a;rsquo;re not products that drivers see and get thrilled about on a day-to-day basis. This is why brand visibility is all the more important for Liqui Moly. Top-class quality alone is not much help, if nobody knows about the benefits.&a;rdquo;

The company, which produces a range of&a;nbsp;&l;span&g;around 4,000 items, offers a global and broad range of automotive chemicals - spanning motor oils and additives, greases, sprays and car care and glues as well as sealants.&l;/span&g;

In addition to Formula 1, Liqui Moly&a;rsquo;s international activities include the motorcycle world championship MotoGP and the touring car championship TCR. Further, the company has a whole range of involvements at the national, regional and local level.

But the company, which has been part of the W&a;uuml;rth Group for around a year now, does not limit its activities to motor racing. Their blue, red and white logo has been in view this winter at the world handball championships, which broke all records, at the ice hockey world championships, at the Four Hills Tournament, at the world ski championships and with the Chicago Bulls in the NBA.

&a;ldquo;This taps into new target groups and customers for us, as well as bridging over the winter break in motor racing,&a;rdquo; explained Peter Baumann, the firm&a;rsquo;s Marketing Director, adding: &a;ldquo;Three factors are always crucial, namely: (1) the number of spectators on site; (2) the media presence; and, (3) the potential for creating positive associations with our own brand image.&a;rdquo;

As well as its sponsorship, Liqui Moly also stimulates business by means of classic advertising. To that end, in autumn 2018 they initiated their first worldwide digital campaign, which they say generated 1.6 billion contacts.

The pressure it seems to advertise has according the CEO Prost &a;ldquo;increased&a;rdquo; over recent years. He said: &a;ldquo;We have to promote ourselves even more to even get noticed, which means investing more money on raising our brand profile.&a;rdquo;

Another advertising campaign costing millions is shortly due to get underway in Austria and Germany, which will involve the company with some 850 employees placing double-page advertisements in all the relevant automobile magazines and periodicals.

This campaign was prompted by a recent vote held by German automobile magazine, Auto Zeitung. Readers of the magazine named the company as producing the best oil brand as Liqui Moly, and &a;ldquo;Top Brand&a;rdquo; among the oils by readers by the title every year since 2010.

On the international front, the company is increasingly deploying a new sales strategy. Traditionally the company has sold its products through independent importers in most countries. In Italy and France, the company will now be taking care of its own sales. &a;nbsp;In the U.S. market it has a subsidiary, Liqui Moly USA, Inc.

Prost in explaining the rationale for the change in sale strategy and direction said: &a;ldquo;Not every importer has the resources required to develop sales the way we would like to. And, our potential is on a totally different scale when it comes to growing - not just in small steps - but in huge jumps.&a;rdquo;

That of course does mean initially spending money on adverting and staff, but as Prost posited: &a;ldquo;These investments pay off in the long run - both Italy and France hold enormous potential for us.&a;rdquo;

Looking forward and after seeing a 2% sales growth in 2018, Prost indicated the firm wants to really to &a;ldquo;make a splash in 2019.&a;rdquo; And, part of executing on this will be their appearance in F1. With that in mind, the target this year is &a;ldquo;at least &a;euro;600 million&a;rdquo; (c.$678 million) or around a 10% increase.&a;nbsp; As the &l;a href=&q;https://www.theguardian.com/world/2012/sep/18/vorsprung-durch-technik-advertising-germany&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;Audi catchphrase&l;/a&g; goes, Vorsprung durch technik.

Top 10 Bank Stocks For 2019

tags:WFC,FCF,AP,CM,HSBA,

Synovus Financial Corp bought a new position in The Carlyle Group (NASDAQ:CG) during the 1st quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The firm bought 6,076 shares of the financial services provider’s stock, valued at approximately $129,000.

A number of other large investors have also recently made changes to their positions in the business. Deutsche Bank AG lifted its position in shares of The Carlyle Group by 41.5% during the 4th quarter. Deutsche Bank AG now owns 2,106,437 shares of the financial services provider’s stock valued at $48,237,000 after buying an additional 617,512 shares in the last quarter. Renaissance Technologies LLC lifted its position in shares of The Carlyle Group by 34.3% during the 4th quarter. Renaissance Technologies LLC now owns 1,576,775 shares of the financial services provider’s stock valued at $36,108,000 after buying an additional 402,475 shares in the last quarter. Wells Fargo & Company MN lifted its position in shares of The Carlyle Group by 1.7% during the 1st quarter. Wells Fargo & Company MN now owns 911,497 shares of the financial services provider’s stock valued at $19,460,000 after buying an additional 15,234 shares in the last quarter. Alkeon Capital Management LLC purchased a new position in shares of The Carlyle Group during the 4th quarter valued at about $17,318,000. Finally, Philadelphia Financial Management of San Francisco LLC lifted its position in shares of The Carlyle Group by 22.8% during the 4th quarter. Philadelphia Financial Management of San Francisco LLC now owns 725,986 shares of the financial services provider’s stock valued at $16,625,000 after buying an additional 134,721 shares in the last quarter. 41.92% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

Top 10 Bank Stocks For 2019: Wells Fargo & Company(WFC)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By ]

    He practices what he preaches. While Berkshire Hathaway has ownership interests in about 45 companies, the lion's share of the portfolio (nearly two-thirds) is invested in just six names. The biggest is Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), followed by Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC), Kraft Heinz (Nasdaq: KHC), Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO), and American Express (NYSE: AXP).Buffett isn't afraid to make colossal investments in a small handful of positions. And with few exceptions, these big bets usually work out brilliantly. Of course, we're also talking about the most astute stock picker of all time. For those without his legendary skills, this strategy might be far less productive -- possibly even dangerous.

  • [By Douglas A. McIntyre]

    The Securities and Exchange Commission said on Monday that between 2009 and 2013, Wells Fargo (WFC) reaped large fees by “improperly encouraging” brokerage clients to actively trade high-fee debt products that were intended to be held to maturity.

  • [By Logan Wallace]

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  • [By Matthew Frankel]

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    First Commonwealth Financial (NYSE:FCF) was upgraded by investment analysts at ValuEngine from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a report released on Monday.

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Top 10 Bank Stocks For 2019: Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation(AP)

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Top 10 Bank Stocks For 2019: Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce(CM)

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  • [By Max Byerly]

    Her Majesty the Queen in Right of the Province of Alberta as represented by Alberta Investment Management Corp boosted its position in Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (NYSE:CM) (TSE:CM) by 54.3% in the first quarter, HoldingsChannel reports. The firm owned 911,300 shares of the bank’s stock after buying an additional 320,800 shares during the quarter. Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce comprises approximately 1.0% of Her Majesty the Queen in Right of the Province of Alberta as represented by Alberta Investment Management Corp’s investment portfolio, making the stock its 19th largest position. Her Majesty the Queen in Right of the Province of Alberta as represented by Alberta Investment Management Corp’s holdings in Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce were worth $103,633,000 as of its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

  • [By Motley Fool Staff]

    Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (NYSE:CM)Q2 2018 Earnings Conference CallMay 23, 2018, 8:00 a.m. ET

    Contents: Prepared Remarks Questions and Answers Call Participants Prepared Remarks:

    Operator

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    Sigma Planning Corp boosted its holdings in shares of Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (NYSE:CM) (TSE:CM) by 12.6% in the second quarter, HoldingsChannel reports. The firm owned 7,383 shares of the bank’s stock after acquiring an additional 826 shares during the period. Sigma Planning Corp’s holdings in Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce were worth $642,000 at the end of the most recent reporting period.

Top 10 Bank Stocks For 2019: HSBC Holdings PLC (HSBA)

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    HSBC (LON:HSBA) had its price target dropped by equities research analysts at Citigroup from GBX 810 ($10.78) to GBX 800 ($10.65) in a report released on Tuesday. The brokerage currently has a “buy” rating on the financial services provider’s stock. Citigroup’s price target points to a potential upside of 9.59% from the stock’s previous close.

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    HSBC (LON:HSBA) was upgraded by equities research analysts at Credit Suisse Group to a “neutral” rating in a research report issued to clients and investors on Thursday. The firm presently has a GBX 720 ($9.38) target price on the financial services provider’s stock, up from their previous target price of GBX 680 ($8.86). Credit Suisse Group’s price target suggests a potential upside of 5.82% from the company’s previous close.

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Monday, February 11, 2019

Monmouth Real Estate Investment Corp (MNR) Q1 2019 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

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Image source: The Motley Fool.

Monmouth Real Estate Investment Corp  (NYSE:MNR)Q1 2019 Earnings Conference CallFeb. 08, 2019, 10:00 a.m. ET

Contents: Prepared Remarks Questions and Answers Call Participants Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to Monmouth Real Estate Investment Corporation's First Quarter 2019 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. (Operator Instructions) After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. (Operator Instructions) Please note, this event is being recorded.

It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Ms. Susan Jordan, Vice President of Investor Relations. Thank you, Ms. Jordan. You may begin.

Susan Jordan -- Vice President of Investor Relations

Thank you very much, operator. In addition to the 10-Q that we filed with the SEC yesterday, we have filed an unaudited first quarter supplemental information presentation. This supplemental information presentation along with our 10-Q are available on the Company's website at mreic.reit.

I would like to remind everyone that certain statements made during this conference call, which are not historical facts, may be deemed forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The forward-looking statements that we make on this call are based on our current expectations and involve various risks and uncertainties. Although the Company believes the expectations reflected in any forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, the Company can provide no assurance that its expectations will be achieved.

The risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations are detailed in the Company's first quarter 2019 earnings release and filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The Company disclaims any obligation to update its forward-looking statements.

Having said that, I'd like to introduce management with us today, Eugene Landy, Chairman; Michael Landy, President and Chief Executive Officer; Kevin Miller, Chief Financial Officer; and Richard Molke, Vice President of Asset Management.

It is now my pleasure to turn the call over to Monmouth's President and Chief Executive Officer, Michael Landy.

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Susan. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. We are pleased to report our results for the first quarter ended December 31, 2018. Following 14.5% AFFO per share growth in fiscal 2018, our first quarter fiscal 2019 AFFO per share has increased 4.5% from both the prior year quarter as well as sequentially. This 4.5% increase was achieved despite the short-term dilutive effect of our issuance of 9.2 million common shares in October. This offering generated net proceeds of approximately $132.3 million and represented our first common stock offering since 2014.

Our core FFO of $0.24 per share and our AFFO of $0.23 per share represents our highest quarterly earnings ever. As anticipated, we put some of the proceeds to work during the quarter with the acquisition of two brand-new Class A built-to-suit properties. These acquisitions were purchased for an aggregate cost of $113.1 million and comprised 474,000 total square feet.

One property located in Trenton, New Jersey is leased to FedEx Ground for 15 years through June 2032. This 347,000 square foot distribution center is situated on 62 acres and a century located between New York City and Philadelphia. This asset is in very close proximity to the New Jersey Turnpike and is in one of the most highly concentrated consumer and business markets in the world.

The other property is a 126,500 square foot distribution center situated on 29 acres in Savannah, Georgia leased for 10 years also to FedEx Ground through October 2028. The Port of Savannah is a primary distribution center for the US and represents a growing market for Monmouth. The Port of Savannah is the fourth largest port in the US and due to the recently completed Panama Canal expansion it has been the fastest growing port in North America for the past several years. We are very pleased with these recent acquisitions as they further strengthen the strategic locations of our portfolio in light of the evolving global supply chain.

Following last year's 12.7% growth in our gross leasable area, at the end of the first quarter, our gross leasable area has increased to approximately 21.6 million square feet, representing 13% growth over the prior year period.

As of the quarter end, our portfolio consisted of 113 properties geographically diversified across 30 states. Our weighted average lease maturity at quarter end increased to 8 years from 7.9 years in the prior year period. Subsequent to the quarter end, we completed a 154,800 square foot building expansion for $9.1 million at one of our properties located in the Cincinnati MSA. This resulted in a new 15-year lease going out through January 2034. This building expansion resulted in increased annual rent of approximately $900,000 for a total initial annual rent of $1.8 million with 2% annual increases throughout the 15-year lease. As those of you who have followed Monmouth for a while know, many of our assets contain substantial additional acreage that when put to work to accommodate our tenants strong and growing businesses, results in excellent incremental returns. This recent large building expansion in Cincinnati represents another case in point.

During the quarter, we grew our acquisition pipeline to include agreements to acquire two new built-to-suit properties containing 882,000 total square feet representing $122.4 million in future acquisitions. One of these future acquisitions is a new 613,000 square foot built-to-suit property currently under construction. This property is leased to Amazon for 15 years. This acquisition is scheduled to close sometime during the fourth quarter of fiscal 2019.

The other future acquisition is a new 270,000 square foot built-to-suit property currently under construction lease for 15 years to FedEx Ground. This acquisition is scheduled to close sometime during the first half of fiscal 2020. And keeping with our business model, both of these acquisitions are very well located Class A projects. In connection with one of these properties, we have entered into a commitment to obtain an 18-year fully amortizing mortgage loan of $52.5 million with a fixed interest rate of 4.27%.

Subject to satisfactory due diligence, we anticipate closing these transactions upon completion and occupancy. As most of you know, in addition to allocating capital into our core business of owning high quality industrial assets, we look for dislocations between real estate valuations and the private real estate market versus the public REIT market. The public REIT market displayed tremendous volatility during the recent quarter, and we were able to opportunistically allocate $33.5 million into liquid real estate investments at what we believe to be compelling valuations. While in the short-term, REIT securities can be highly volatile similar to other equities, in the longer term, they generally perform in line with the underlying real estate that they represent. As such, we limit our REIT securities investment exposure to no more than 10% of our gross assets.

While private market real estate valuations were very stable throughout the quarter, December marked the largest monthly decline in public REIT valuations ever. This was followed by January's V-shaped recovery marking one of the strongest months ever. It is amazing how increasingly short-term oriented the public equity markets have become. The frenetic turbulence triggered by hyper active and often automated fund flows can result in excellent investment opportunities for long-term patient real estate investors that are willing to look at both markets and react accordingly.

Investing in liquid real estate is a strategy that we have employed opportunistically since the late 1990s and it has served us very well by enhancing our liquidity and increasing our investment opportunities. At the end of the quarter, our $145.8 million securities portfolio represented 7.1% of our gross assets and was generating approximately $14 million in annual income.

Getting back to our core business, the US industrial property market, 2018 marked another very strong year for industrial real estate. Fourth quarter national net absorption came in at 63 million square feet marking the 35th consecutive quarter of positive demand. Total net absorption for the year exceeded 200 million square feet for the sixth year in a row. The national average vacancy rate continues to come down and is currently at 4.5% marking record low. New industrial development also continues to increase in order to embrace e-commerce demand and omnichannel consumption. The total industrial pipeline under construction here in the US is currently 279 million square feet, up 3% over the prior quarter.

This past holiday season saw the best retail sales figures in six years with total retail sales increasing by 5.1% over the prior year period and e-commerce sales increasing by 19.1%. Cap rates for US industrial assets continue to compress to record lows as more and more entrants seek to own industrial property portfolios.

And now let me turn it over to Rich, so he can provide you with more detail on the property level as well as our progress on the leasing front.

Richard Molke -- Vice President of Asset Management

Thank you, Mike. With respect to our property portfolio, our occupancy rate is currently 98.9%, representing a 60 basis point decrease from a year ago. Our weighted average lease maturity increased from 7.9 years a year ago to 8.0 years as of the quarter end. Our weighted average rent per square foot increased by 4% to $6.22 as of the fiscal year end as compared to $5.99 a year ago. From a leasing standpoint, in fiscal 2019, approximately 7% of our gross leasable area is scheduled to expire, representing 12 leases totaling approximately 1.5 million square feet.

Thus far five of the 12 leases have been renewed, representing approximately 803,000 square feet or 54% of the expiring square footage. These five lease renewals have a lengthy weighted average lease term of 8.4 years and a weighted average lease rate of $4.55 per square foot on a GAAP basis and $4.46 on a cash basis. This represents a decrease in the weighted average lease rate of 5.4% on a GAAP basis and a 10.8% decrease on a cash basis. The main driver for the decrease in the lease renewal rate was one five-year renewal for 184,000 square foot facility located Dallas, Texas leased to Carrier Enterprise, a division of United Technologies. Including this one lease renewal, the remaining four lease renewals have a substantial weighted average lease term of 9.4 years and represent an increase in the weighted average lease rate of 6.3% on a GAAP basis and a 1.3% increase on a cash basis. Two of the 12 leases coming due this year did not renewal and are currently vacant. One of the two leases that did not renewal was our 92,000 square foot facility located in Charleston, South Carolina, which was leased to FedEx Ground. FedEx did not renewing this facility because they move their operation to our newly constructed, much larger 265,000 square foot facility, which is also located in Charleston.

The new 265,000 square foot facility is leased to FedEx Ground for 15 years through June 2033. The other lease that did not renew was a small 60,000 square foot facility located in Richmond, Virginia that was leased to Carrier Enterprise. Both our 92,000 square foot facility located in Charleston, South Carolina and our 60,000 square foot facility located in Richmond, Virginia are currently being marketed. The five remaining leases that are set to expire this fiscal year are currently under discussion and these discussions went well during the quarter. We expect to have more to share with you in the ensuing quarters.

A few final points that I'd like to make before I turn it over to Kevin, is to keep in mind that because 80% of our rental revenue is derived from long-term leases to investment grade tenants, we have historically had very high tenant retention rates, averaging approximately 90%, and we expect that to continue to be the case going forward. These high tenant retention rates combined with the long-term lease renewals and the net lease structure provides for far lower recurring CapEx than would be the case if our buildings turned over more rapidly. Additionally, with the weighted average building age of only 8.6 years, we have the youngest and most modern property portfolio in our sector. And obviously that too results in lower recurring CapEx.

And lastly, it's worth noting that it is far more expensive to induce a tenant to move into your building than it is to retain a tenant. For all these reasons, we favor our business models having long-term leases to investment grade tenants.

And now, Kevin will provide you with greater detail on our financial results.

Kevin S. Miller -- Chief Financial and Accounting Officer and Treasurer

Thank you, Rich. Core funds from operations for the first quarter fiscal 2019 were $21.4 million or $0.24 per diluted share. This compares the core FFO for the same period one-year ago of $16.9 million or $0.22 per diluted share, representing a 9.1% increase. Adjusted funds from operations or AFFO, which excludes net realized gains on our securities investments was $21 million or $0.23 per diluted share for the quarter as compared to $16.5 million or $0.22 per diluted share in the prior year period, representing a 4.5% improvement.

On a sequential basis, AFFO per share increased 4.5% over the prior quarter as well. As Michael mentioned, these per share increases in core FFO and AFFO were achieved despite the short-term dilutive effect of issuing 9.2 million additional shares this past October in our first common stock offering since 2014. As we continue to put this $132.3 million in new capital to work, we anticipate continuing to meaningfully grow our per share earnings going forward. It is worth repeating that our $0.24 core FFO per share and our $0.23 AFFO per share achieved this quarter represents record high quarterly earnings for Monmouth.

Rental reimbursement revenues for the quarter were $39.1 million compared to $33.5 million or an increase of 17% from the previous year's quarter. Net operating income or NOI which we define as recurring rental and reimbursement revenues, less property taxes and operating expenses was $32.3 million for the quarter, reflecting an 18% increase from the comparable period a year ago.

Our net income showed a loss of $27.9 million for the first quarter as compared to positive net income of $17.6 million in the previous year's first quarter. This large decrease in our net income was due to an accounting rule change in which unrealized gains and losses in our securities investments are now reflected on our income statement. Prior to the adoption of this accounting rule change, unrealized gains and losses reflected as change in shareholders' equity.

This is the first quarter in which we adopted this new GAAP rule. Unfortunately, going forward, this will at times result in large swings both up and down in our net income. The 258% decrease in net income this quarter was primarily driven by a $42.6 million increase in the unrealized loss on our securities portfolio. Excluding the effect of this accounting rule change, net income from continuing operations would have been $14.7 million, representing a 20% increase from the prior year quarter. We will continue to report our core FFO and AFFO results exactly as we always have, as these metrics back out these nonrecurring, non-cash fluctuations and are more indicative of our recurring performance.

As Michael mentioned earlier, during the quarter, we acquired two newly constructed industrial properties for a total of $113.1 million. One of the acquisitions of 347,000 square foot distribution center leased to FedEx Ground for 15 years in Trenton, New Jersey was $85.2 million. We financed this transaction with a 15-year fully amortizing mortgage loan in the amount of $55 million at a fixed interest rate of 4.13%. The other acquisition a 127,000 square foot distribution center also leased the FedEx Ground in Savannah, Georgia for 10 years was $27.8 million. We financed this transaction with a 15-year fully amortizing mortgage loan in the amount of $17.5 million at a fixed interest rate of 4.4%.

Same property NOI decreased slightly by 0.7% on a GAAP basis over the prior year period and decrease 0.2% on a cash basis. This slight decrease was primarily attributable to the 130 basis point decline in same property occupancy percentage from 100% at the prior year quarter end to 98.7% as of the current quarter end.

As of the end of the quarter, our capital structure consisted of approximately $898 million in debt, of which $772 million was property level fixed rate mortgage debt, and $126 million were loans payable. 86% of our debt is fixed rate with a weighted average interest rate of 4.1% as compared to 4.2% in the prior year period. A weighted average debt maturity for our fixed rate debt was 11.8 years at quarter end as compared to 11.5 years in the prior year period. This represents one of the longest debt maturity schedules in the entire REIT sector.

Taking our maturities out even further, we also had $288 million outstanding on our Series C 6.125% (ph) Perpetual Preferred equity at quarter end. Combined with an equity market capitalization of $1.1 billion, our total market capitalization was approximately $2.3 billion at quarter end. From a credit standpoint, we continue to be conservatively capitalized with our net debt to total market capitalization at 38%. Fixed charge coverage at 2.6 times and our net debt to adjusted EBITDA at 6.3 times for the quarter. From a liquidity standpoint, we ended the quarter with $12.8 million in cash and cash equivalents. We also had $90 million available from our credit facility as well as an additional $100 million potentially available from the accordion feature.

In addition, we have $145.8 million in marketable REIT securities, representing 7.1% of our undepreciated assets, with an unrealized loss of $67.4 million at quarter end. It is important to point out that this past December marked one of the biggest declines in public equity valuations in a one-month period ever. Since the quarter end, the valuation of our securities investments has improved by approximately $27 million, thereby reducing our unrealized loss of $67.4 million to approximately $40 million currently. Our securities portfolio currently generates approximately $15 million in annual dividends.

And now, let me turn it back to Michael, before we open up the call for questions.

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Kevin. To summarize, following the substantial growth achieved in fiscal 2018, our first quarter represents a strong start to the New Year. Our record high $0.23 per share AFFO achieved this quarter is up 4.5% year-over-year as well as sequentially resulting in a conservative 74% AFFO dividend payout ratio. Our occupancy rate remains excellent at 98.9% reflecting the mission critical nature of our properties. We've put together an exceptional industrial property portfolio by being very selective in acquiring one high quality asset at a time.

Our two new pipeline projects currently under construction are indicative of our continued adherence to the highest standards. We anticipate that our property portfolio will continue to benefit from the opportunities presented by the digital economy and the evolving global supply chain. Lastly, our new line of report is now up on our website. This report represents an excellent resource for understanding our company and our future outlook. And therefore, we strongly encourage you to read it. As always, we put a lot of time and thought into our annual reports and we are especially proud of this year's edition.

If you would like to receive a hard copy, please contact our IR department and we'll be happy to FedEx it up to you.

We would now like to open it up to questions.

Questions and Answers:

Operator

We will now begin the question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions) The first question today comes from Jeremy Metz with BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Jeremy Metz -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

Hey, good morning.

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning.

Jeremy Metz -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

Just want to quickly go back to the 2019 renewal of the five leases you have left here. If we strip out the ones that actually -- which I understand typically happens much closer to expiration. As we look at the other four, you mentioned discussions went well. I was wondering if you can expand on this a little? And then maybe talk about, is there anything unique going on here that they haven't renewed yet. When it appears you're starting now pulling a bunch of leases forward, tenants are obviously focused on the holding on to mission critical assets. So maybe these are just back-end loaded in your fiscal year and that's one of the drivers. But any color here would be great?

Kevin S. Miller -- Chief Financial and Accounting Officer and Treasurer

Yes, I know, I did hear about other of our peers pulling things forward. We're confident we'll have a high tenant retention rate this year. We're already looking at some renewals in 2020, but not bringing them forward. Historically, as Rich said in the prepared remarks, we've averaged over 90% retention. And I think Rich did a good job illustrating all the savings as far as recurring CapEx when you have long duration leases to credit tenants and modern buildings, et cetera. So -- but as far as specifically drilling down on the five remaining properties, Rich anything you want to add?

Richard Molke -- Vice President of Asset Management

I'd just add that -- I mentioned on our last call as well that discussions were going well then and we do feel that we're going to be able to flip our GAAP spreads positive by the end of this year. So there's really nothing further that's out of sync with what has normally happened as far as renewals.

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

One thing I'll add is that's unusual this year is -- historically, we have long duration renewals, but this year they're exceptionally long. I think average is 8.5 years and if you back out the United Technologies renewal, they are over nine years of renewal spread. So the lease durations are excellent. The credit quality is excellent and we anticipate flipping the negative leasing spreads positive as these five leases get executed.

Jeremy Metz -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

And so, based on that spread that doesn't sound like any of the remaining are facing the same sort of supply risk issue that the United Technologies building had down in Texas is that fair?

Richard Molke -- Vice President of Asset Management

That's fair.

Jeremy Metz -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

And then in terms of the two vacate you had, are you looking to sell these or what's the plan for those?

Richard Molke -- Vice President of Asset Management

We're going to wait.

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

So those are both up for sale and for lease. But we've had really good traction already on those. So hopefully in the next few quarters we can give great updates on those two.

Kevin S. Miller -- Chief Financial and Accounting Officer and Treasurer

And we rather find a tenant than sell those assets, great locations, great assets. So ideally, we'll be retenanting those buildings.

Jeremy Metz -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

Okay. And just one last one sticking with the vacate, one of them, you mentioned in your opening remarks it was a FedEx building where they outgrew their space and they moved into a new facility with you guys. As you look across the portfolio, you've been partners with FedEx getting back to the early 90s. Is there any way to quantify how much of their space is similar to where they've outgrown it and need to move, or just older, or possibly that they need to expand?

Richard Molke -- Vice President of Asset Management

Yes. It has been a recurring theme, I could rattle off several markets where that's occurred. And it will probably continue to occur. The buildings now are -- because of omnichannel consumption require a lot more square footage, a lot more trailer parking, a lot more employee parking. So there is a certain percentage of older FedEx is that will probably get replaced with newer buildings. In some markets they keep both the new building and the older, smaller building. But we've -- we have the youngest -- looking at the whole portfolio as a whole, we have the youngest weighted average building age. So we've already done I think the heavy lifting as far as transitioning the smaller, older buildings into the state-of-the-art giant facilities.

Jeremy Metz -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

Great. Thanks for the time.

Richard Molke -- Vice President of Asset Management

You're welcome, Jeremy.

Operator

The next question comes from Rob Stevenson with Janney. Please go ahead.

Robert Stevenson -- Janney Montgomery Scott LLC -- Analyst

Good morning, guys. Mike, given the lead time your typical deals take, given that they are developments that you buy. Is there anything at this point that's out there that you expect to close acquisition-wise other than the Amazon deal at the end of the fourth quarter and fiscal '19?

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

I know, under contract deals are what we announce and those are the two under contract, there's other deals we're bidding on and really can't talk about them and until we get something concrete. The FedEx in 2020, originally that was early second quarter 2020 asset and they're discussing now changing the parameters making it a even larger facility. If that happens that will slide and become a third quarter 2020 asset, but a bigger building even though it's already a very big building. So these things are fluid under discussion and the pipeline grew over the quarter and hopefully the pipeline will continue to grow. We've done $221 million in acquisitions over the last two quarters, plus we did the $10 million expansion in Cincinnati. So we've been generating good growth and expect that to continue, albeit markets highly competitive, there's a lot of new entrants into the industrial property sector. As you follow the other REITs, there's REITs and other property types that are trying to dispose of non-industrial assets and rotate into industrial and mimic essentially our business model. And we take that as a compliment. I guess imitation is the most sincere form of flattery, but we were early in seeing industrial gain market share from the shift in consumer spending to online shopping, and it's been discovered.

Robert Stevenson -- Janney Montgomery Scott LLC -- Analyst

Do you guys have any other expansions under way currently or likely to kick-off in the next couple of quarters?

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

There's things under discussion, but until we have a concrete document, we can't go further on that.

Robert Stevenson -- Janney Montgomery Scott LLC -- Analyst

Okay. And then beyond the FedEx Ground in Charleston and the Carrier in Richmond, where else do you have vacancy in the portfolio today?

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yes. We own an industrial park in the Pittsburgh market. It's one of our -- it's our only multi-tenant facility. And I guess one of the buildings in that park about 80,000 square foot building is vacant. Shell has a cracking plant going up. I think it's like a $5 billion investment Shell Oil is making just a couple of miles north of the property. So there should be good demand for that 80,000 square feet. So those are the three vacancies, and that's everything out of a 113 property portfolio going on 22 million square feet.

Robert Stevenson -- Janney Montgomery Scott LLC -- Analyst

Okay. And then Kevin, was there any rent payments in last quarter from either the FedEx Ground that's now vacant or the Carrier that's in the earnings numbers or where they vacated and non-rent paying during the quarter. Just trying to figure out in terms of run rate or...

Kevin S. Miller -- Chief Financial and Accounting Officer and Treasurer

Yes, their leases went through November. So there was a couple of months of rent in there.

Robert Stevenson -- Janney Montgomery Scott LLC -- Analyst

Okay. And then last one from me, I think you guys said that you invested $33.5 million incrementally last quarter in the securities portfolio. Has there been any incremental investment thus far in the fiscal second quarter?

Kevin S. Miller -- Chief Financial and Accounting Officer and Treasurer

Yes. Fiscal second quarter early January an additional $15 million.

Robert Stevenson -- Janney Montgomery Scott LLC -- Analyst

Okay. And then is that all -- between the two of those the first quarter and the second quarter investments, are there any new stock positions there or anything that you've sold out off or you guys just buy more of the same?

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, we haven't sold anything. Pricing is such that we anticipate holding what we own indefinitely. As far as new holdings, yes, there were some preferred names that we owned the common already, but the preferred market represented a good opportunity. So we now own some of the preferred instruments of some of the common names that are in our portfolio. Other than that it was increased investment in some of the names. We're happy with the securities portfolio and it's served us very well. I think the programs out there whoever's programming the computers has some really baking short-term decisions and not -- they're not investing for the long-term, I think nothing was more indicative of that than the pronounced sell-off in December down 16%. And then with interest rates going up, the quick return to risk gone and REIT security is up 16%. So by having the securities portfolio, we were able to rapidly take advantage of those opportunities.

Robert Stevenson -- Janney Montgomery Scott LLC -- Analyst

Okay. Thanks guys. I appreciate that.

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

On this -- on the topic of securities, Gene wants to add something.

Eugene W. Landy -- Chairman of the Board

Well, I just want add everybody fits together both these common portfolio and the preferred portfolio and they are somewhat different. We have it almost perfect racket with the preferred, preferred -- that we preferred stocks have performed extremely well over 30, 40 years and we've had some go down in price. We've had some suspended dividends, but if we invested in a 6% to 7% preferred, we've gotten a 6% to 7% preferred for decades. And instead of sitting with cash at 1.5%, we set with a modest preferred portfolio. It's different in concept and some of the common portfolio. The common portfolio is in our mind liquid real estate. And we invest in the common portfolio because it is the equivalent of real estate, and long-term you will get an equivalent performance as to owning the buildings. And again, the principal reason we do it is long-term liquidity. The capital structure of a win is very important for its long-term performance. And over the years having liquidity has enabled Monmouth REIT to continue the dividend in very difficult times. We've had -- have been able to continue expansion of buildings when there was turmoil in the markets. And so liquidity is what we strive for. And we've gotten liquidity. And I continue to recommend REIT stocks to everyone, I think REITs in general is a great investment.

Robert Stevenson -- Janney Montgomery Scott LLC -- Analyst

Okay. Thanks, guys.

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Craig Kucera of B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead.

Craig Kucera -- B. Riley FBR -- Analyst

Hey, good morning, guys. I may have missed this, but what was the rent or cap rate on the new acquisitions that are in the pipeline today?

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

No, I don't think we got into that, but we're very pleased. Cap rates are north of six, not much, north of six, average cap rate is 6.15% on the two 15-year brand new Class A properties in our pipeline. So excellent cap rates relative to where things are trading at the moment.

Eugene W. Landy -- Chairman of the Board

And excellent terms on the mortgage as we put on the properties. So we're still getting the spreads that we seek in -- that is necessary for a business plan.

Craig Kucera -- B. Riley FBR -- Analyst

Got it. And so I know you only locked in the one loan which I think you said was at 4.57 (ph). Is that -- I think historically you guys have done about 200 basis points. Are you looking at potentially dipping inside or was the cap rate on the Amazon building a little higher than 6.5, 1.5 (ph)?

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

No, this spread is inside 200 bps, but not much inside 200 bps. And it's a 15-year deal as Gene mentioned. The 200 basis point spread that we've historically gotten is an average. We've gone as low as 125 basis point spreads. We were spoiled by discovering industrial before everybody else piled in and we were getting close to 400 basis point spreads four years ago, but today the spreads have come in and you're talking about 185 basis point spreads, where we're happy with that. We could get levered returns on equity in the low teens 12%, 13% lever returns of equity and that will be very accretive for earnings.

Craig Kucera -- B. Riley FBR -- Analyst

Got it. And just shifting back to the remaining leases that are expiring this year. Should I infer based on your comment about GAAP spreads slipping positive that the average rents there are kind of right around to slightly below market on sort of what's left in those five leases?

Richard Molke -- Vice President of Asset Management

No. I would say that they are at market or a little bit below, but they are -- these are important buildings to our tenants. So the ones that we're in discussion with, they're going to be staying.

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Market's tough. Each building is unique when market rent is calling a per square foot number and our buildings have way more land, way more parking, with way larger trailer courts on face value, you may say it's above market, but that asset has the acreage and the market rate for that larger parcel is a higher rent than the normal average. And when you take out the United Technologies lease, the spreads are up 6.5%. So we're getting good leasing spreads. It's kind of a little noise in the data that one large roll-down took things negative. You back that out and we're getting pretty sizable positive leasing spreads.

Craig Kucera -- B. Riley FBR -- Analyst

Got it. And one more for me. Post the equity raise you guys did deleverage. I guess kind of how do you think about leverage and sort of what's your ultimate purchasing power is from the equity raise you completed in the last quarter and sort of your continued flow of drip funds coming in?

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Well, historically, we've run the company at a net debt to EBITDA range from the high six's to the high five's. We're right in that range now with 6.3 (ph) down from 7.1 (ph) just the prior quarter. But all leverage ratios aren't equal. We're talking about EBITDA generated by investment-grade tenants on long-term leases and as Rich mentioned, mission-critical facilities. So I think all else being equal that is very low leverage. And then in addition, the belt and suspenders part of our balance sheet is that we have this war chest. We have $185 million in liquid real estate securities at the moment and free and clear, and that you could borrow currently 50% against the 3%. So if you gave us conservatively speaking $0.50 on the $1 for that $185 million war chest of liquid real estate, your net debt to EBITDA ratios would be even healthier. So that's how we look at it. We're 51-year-old company, so obviously maintaining a fortress balance sheet is something that enabled us to endure that long.

Kevin S. Miller -- Chief Financial and Accounting Officer and Treasurer

I just --OK.

Eugene W. Landy -- Chairman of the Board

If I could add one thing. We believe one pillar of our capital should be the preferred stock. We think long term we look ahead 10, 20, 30 years the property values will go up, the more leverage it have that really compounds and produces tremendous returns for our shareholders. So one pillar of capital is preferred. And to the extent right now the market is not open, but it will be open and we will again add to that pillar, and we like the preferred stock. We prefer -- as we prefer preferred stock at a higher costs than short-term bank loads.

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

No, I think Kevin want to jump in on the similar theme the maturities, the perpetual preferreds go out to eternity, which Monmouth has a long-term investor rail issues, and then our debt maturities go out. Well, Kevin, you want to say something. Am I stealing your thunder? I'm in a total different vein.

Kevin S. Miller -- Chief Financial and Accounting Officer and Treasurer

No, no, you're in the same vein, but I also wanted to add when you talk about the debt ratios, Mike, talked about the strength of the revenue that's a portion of that debt ratio. I just wanted to just touch on the debt portion that not all debt the same that we have long-term maturities that Mike has mentioned 11.8 years on our fixed-rate debt. 86% of our debt is fixed rate, 4.1% interest rate on that. And then also just wanted to point out that the debt it's not a -- it's self-amortizing debt for the most part. So we don't have to worry about balloon payments and any big payments coming up quickly.

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

So these are all important points when you're looking at net debt to EBITDA ratios and comparing us with our peers.

Craig Kucera -- B. Riley FBR -- Analyst

Yes. Thanks.

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Welcome.

Operator

The next question comes from James Gordon with Gordon Investments. Please go ahead.

James Gordon -- Gordon Capital Investments Ltd -- Analyst

I would like to comment on the portfolio of REIT securities and particularly on statement made by Eugene Landy, a couple of conference calls away. He said that, you apply the same underwriting standards, careful underwriting standards. Your REIT investments as you do to your individual properties, I thought that was quite notable. I went back and I tried as a long-term investor to figure out what's your underwriting standards could be with respect to the securities that you list in your portfolio. I've had a lot of difficulty with that particularly with respect to the REITs that hold retail shopping centers. And I wonder as Mr. Landy would comment, what is the nature of your underwriting standards, so that we can better understand the investments that you're making?

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Sure. This is Mike Landy, I'll go first and then Mr. Landy if he wants to chime in can do so. To find an asset that meets our industrial property portfolio criteria, one has to thread several needles. It has to be a single tenant, net lease, long-term, investment-grade, modern well-located asset. So that's what we do with over 90% of our assets. We have a second line of business. Everybody's clamoring into being the next Monmouth, to be an industrial, to have a portfolio that is as coveted as our portfolio. We're not imitators. We're innovators. We look at real estate values in all property types in all geographies. Liquid real estate is underwritten the same as hard assets. In fact, we're very fortunate that we have a bigger private market to benchmark valuations against. So it's not rocket science when you're looking on the computer at valuations and because of the short-term nature of the market you're seeing things go awry and prices that you would never think possible. December was a good example. So as allocators of capital to raise equity in October, watch the market fall dramatically in December and be able to swoop in and take advantage of that opportunity is going to serve our long-term shareholders very well. Some people think it's picking stocks and we -- long term it performs as Gene mentioned in line with the real estate. Our thesis with getting away from industrial and mitigating and hedging that focus into the last mile, which essentially brick-and-mortar is, it's infield as mile industrial that's what it historically was it's going to serve us well in the long term. We've seen Amazon invest in brick-and-mortar retail. Amazon talked about drawing delivery never really took off. People are talking about same-day delivery. It's so highly unprofitable. We're only seeing that in a handful of markets. We keep sharing about , quote-unquote, free shipping, but Amazon spent $27 billion on shipping last year over $9 billion in the last quarter alone. That's up over 20% year-over-year and shipping costs are just going to continue to go up. So for EUR 5,000 people needed a physical presence on Main Street to pick up goods and to return goods and that's always going to be there. And for some reason the market has created this armageddon doomsday scenario, where nobody will touch brick-and-mortar retail. And we don't have huge exposures there, but we're happy to have some exposure there and time will tell how it plays out. Did we answer your question? Next question.

Operator

The next question comes from Barry Oxford with D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Barry Oxford Jr. -- D.A. Davidson & Co. -- Analyst

Great. Thanks. Mike, well, just to kind of build on the mark-to-market. You've talked about the current leases that are comping up. But if you pull leases forward from 2020, is there piece it mark-to-market there as far as leases being under market price or not necessarily?

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yes. No, we have a great slide in our slide deck. It's up on our website. It's currently Slide number 26 and it shows the expirations going all the way out to 2034 and what percentage of GLA, what percentage of annual base rent and what the current weighted average rent per square foot is. And I have that slide in front of me. The answer to your question is, yes, we have good positive roll-out potential. The leases that are coming due in 2020 as an average -- $5.56 -- 2021 $4.57. So yes, I don't see roll-down risk and I see positive leasing spreads in this point.

Barry Oxford Jr. -- D.A. Davidson & Co. -- Analyst

Great, great. And then Mike a bigger picture question. Do you feel that FedEx stock price performance is weighing on your stock?

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

I can't, I don't think so. I don't know. I think, I can venture a guess what's weighing on our stock. It would be more selling than buying, that's just as far as I can go on on that.

Barry Oxford Jr. -- D.A. Davidson & Co. -- Analyst

Okay. Thanks. Thanks, guys.

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

You're welcome, Barry.

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mike Landy for any closing remarks.

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yes. I appreciate that, Anita. But I'm going to let Susan wrap it up. Thank you.

Susan Jordan -- Vice President of Investor Relations

Thank you, operator. I'd like to thank everyone for joining us on this call and for their continued support and interest in Monmouth. As always, we are all available for any follow-up questions. We look forward to reporting back to you after our second quarter. Thank you.

Operator

This conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. The teleconference replay will be available in approximately one hour. To access this replay please dial US toll-free one 1-877-344-7529 or international 1-412 317-0088. The conference ID number is 10126909. Thank you, and please disconnect your lines.

Duration: 50 minutes

Call participants:

Susan Jordan -- Vice President of Investor Relations

Michael P. Landy -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Richard Molke -- Vice President of Asset Management

Kevin S. Miller -- Chief Financial and Accounting Officer and Treasurer

Jeremy Metz -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

Robert Stevenson -- Janney Montgomery Scott LLC -- Analyst

Eugene W. Landy -- Chairman of the Board

Craig Kucera -- B. Riley FBR -- Analyst

James Gordon -- Gordon Capital Investments Ltd -- Analyst

Barry Oxford Jr. -- D.A. Davidson & Co. -- Analyst

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